We are in Milwaukee where the hometown Brewers are playing host to the boys from the Second City with the second game of the series set for Saturday night. The Brewers took Game One winning 6 to 2 and the Cubs will of course look to bounce back tonight. We do not expect the Cubs to be successful in their quest as the Brewers are just a much better club overall and have a huge advantage on the mound and at the plate tonight. The Cubs are hitting .236 on the road with a .395 slugging percentage this season. Although the Cubs have averaged 7.2 runs over their last ten games. But you need to put an asterisk by that stat because those ten games game against Colorado, Toronto and the NY Mets where they scored 18 in three games versus Colorado, 14 versus Toronto and 33 in four games versus the Mets. This Brewers team is a big step up from that group. The Brewers average hitting .255 at home with a .402 slugging percentage on the year. Over their last ten games the Brewers averaged 4.3 runs per game with a .711 OPS. Which is consistent with the Brewers season for the most part whereas the Mets’ last ten is way out of character for their normal performance this season. The Cubs will send newly acquired David Peterson to the hill with his 3-6 SU record, an ERA of 6.09, and a WHIP of 1.65. This will be Petersons first start for his new team tonight. The Brewers will send Kyle Harrison to the mound with his 8-1 SU record, an ERA of 2.50, and a WHIP of 1.06 over seventy-two innings of work. Harrison has allowed just fifty-eight hits while striking out eighty-seven batters this season. His season ERA is misleading due to allowing eight runs in two plus innings of work against the Athletics in the Triple-A stadium in Las Vegas on July 8, he did avoid the loss when the Brewers rallied for a 15 to 14 victory in twelve innings. In his last outing he allowed two runs on four hits over six plus innings leaving with a two-run lead, but he failed to get a decision because the Braves rallied after he left the game and got the 4 to 3 victory. He faces a Cubs team that has lost seven of their last eight games at American Family Field. Our TPR Index projects a run advantage of 2.19 runs. The SPMatrix has Kyle Harrison with an average of 9.04 compared to David Peterson who has an average of 5.01. Our next set of metrics looks at the overall Pitchers Power Ratings. Coming into this game and situation Harrison has a rating of 136 while Peterson has a rating of 73 with the league average of 100. The SIM Matrix has the Milwaukee Brewers with a 74.26 percent advantage against the Chicago Cubs in tonight’s contest. Play AGAINST a team starting a pitcher averaging <= 0.5 home runs allowed per game; team off a game where the bullpen allowed 4 or more runs; not Game One of the series, 1595-1222 SU (57%)(+$9,176) including 7-1 SU L8 and a perfect 5-0 SU L5. Play AGAINST MLB +125 or more underdogs coming off a game as an underdog facing a starter whose strike-per-ball ratio is greater than 1.89 on the season and it’s not the first game of a series, 2755-1406 SU (66%)(+$13,400) including 22-5 SU L27 including a perfect 6-0 SU L6. We are going to lay the chalk, which is higher than we normally play but in this case the situation warrants a play on the Brewers as they roll to another win tonight. PREDICTION: 9* MILWAUKEE BREWERS 4 CHICAGO CUBS 2