On Sunday we are in Philly where the Yankees are in town looking for the sweep of the struggling Phillies on Sunday night. New York comes into this game after winning four of their last five games having allowed a total of one run in their last three contests. The Yankees are 33-22 on the road this year, while the Phillies are 27-27 at home. Philadelphia has lost four in a row having scored one or fewer runs in three of those four games. The Phillies will send their ace to the mound in Cristopher Sanchez, who has allowed 2, 2, 9, and 0 earned runs in his last four starts, while Will Warren gets the nod for the Yankees and he has allowed 1, 6, 2, and 5 earned runs in his last four trips to the bump. The Yankees have won the first two games in this series by scores of 1 to 0 and 3 to 1. For the Phillies Sanchez has been simply awesome this season posting a record of 12-4 SU, an ERA of 2.65, and a WHIP of 1.19 on the season. The Yankees will hang their hopes of the sweep on Will Warren who has a record of 7-4 SU, an ERA of 4.00, and a WHIP of 1.37 on the year. Both starters have seen a turn recently with Sanchez having a recent ERA of 4.82 while Warren’s has jumped to 4.34. Each of these teams have the offensive ability to put big numbers on the board and this matchup and situation point to the high side of the oddsmakers total tonight. On paper and quick glance, it would appear to be a pitchers’ duel with the low side getting the nod as the play. But our power numbers, SIM projections, total modules all point to this one going over the posted total. Recently we have seen the Phillies average 4.34 runs per game while the Yankees have averaged 4.24 runs per game. Our Total TPR Module projects the Phillies with a total runs scored of 4.54 and the Yankees with a total runs scored of 4.62 which has a game total projection of 9.16 well above the current market number of 8.0. With a check of the Citizens Bank Stadium conditions the wind is forecast as neutral. Add it all up and this game should easily go over the posted total. Play OVER in MLB games in July when the game total is 8.5 or less and the team has more than six earned runs in their starters last start, 81-51 OVER (61%)(+$2,440). Play OVER in MLB July games when the opponent had fewer than forty-seven pitches thrown in their last game and when the team had an earned run average of more than 0.0 in the starters’ last start, 67-41 OVER (62%)(+$2,244). With significant support for the high side of the oddsmakers total we will play this game to easily go Over that number tonight in Philly. OVER