Free Sports Game Preview and Prediction: Valparaiso vs. Illinois
Tuesday, March 14, 2017 7:15 PM
Play: Point Spread: -9.0/-110 Illinois
Free Pick on Illinois - I really like the value here with the Fighting Illini at home against the Crusaders. Valparaiso finished T-1st in the Horizon regular season and had expectations of making the Big Dance up until the time that they lost their best player and Horizon League Player of the Year in Alec Peters, who averaged a double-double with 23.0 ppg and 10.1 rpg. That kind of production is impossible to replace this time of year and it's also difficult for a team to bounce back from a big blow like this at this point in this season. I know Illinois didn't have a great finish to the season, losing their regular season finale at Rutgers and getting blown out in the Big 10 tournament by Michigan. I just don't see this team laying down on their home court, where they went a respectable 12-5 this season. The Illini are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points and Valpo is a mere 4-13 ATS in their last 17 1st round tournament games. Take Illinois!
 

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