Free Sports Game Preview and Prediction: New Mexico State vs. New Mexico
Saturday, September 16, 2023 8:00 PM
Play: Point Spread: +2.5/-105 New Mexico State
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Saturday’s FREE WINNER: New Mexico State Aggies.
Game 137.
5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.
In what has become the “Battle of I-25”, in my opinion I feel the wrong team is favored here. My numbers have the Aggies coming in here as three-point fav. They took last year’s meeting at home in mid-October, 21-9. That ATS cover also gave them seven ATS covers over the last eight meetings in this rivalry. That just might be reason enough to side with them here. But wait folks, because there’s more (lol). While both teams are supposed to be bottom feeders in their perspective conferences, you cannot ignore the fact that the Aggies have tallied more victories against better teams than did the Lobos. Just since the middle of last season, New Mexico State had straight up victories, over the likes of Hawaii, New Mexico, UMass, and yes, even Liberty. By the way, they also won a Bowl game on December 26 over Bowling Green. Meanwhile, prior to last week’s win over Tennessee Tech, New Mexico was riding a 10-game straight up losing streak, in which they only covered one time. QB, Diego Pavia has put up some solid numbers, much better than Dylan Hopkins. Plus, the Lobos also have a couple of able ball-carriers in Monte Watkins and Star Thomas. They have the luxury of switching off running backs and keeping their legs fresh. The Lobos have one RB, in Jacory Croskey-Merritt. This makes it a bit easier for the Aggies to key on him. As I mentioned earlier, I think the wrong team is favored here. So, let’s take the points with New Mexico State. Thank you.
Joe D'Amico | |
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