Free Sports Game Preview and Prediction: Miami Heat vs. Atlanta Hawks
Friday, April 18, 2025 7:00 PM
Play: Point Spread: +0/-110 Miami Heat
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Friday’s FREE WINNER: Miami Heat.
Game 589.
4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.
To be quite honest, I think the wrong team is favored in this matchup. The Atlanta Hawks are not the team they once were playing at the State Farm Arena anymore. There was a time this team was money at home. Just recently, they have failed to cover in three of their last four played at home, folks. This season, they are 21-19 straight up on their own court. But they are truly immortal playing on their own court over the last several seasons. I also don't feel this team is a money team. By that I mean, they might be able to win a few games during the regular season. But when it comes down to crunch time, they fold like a cheap suit. They have split out their last 10 games, both straight up and against the spread, and have lost and failed to cover their two most recent meetings with the Miami Heat. Granted, both of those matchups were on the road. But still at the end of February, and at the end of March, Miami came up big in both of those outings. Speaking of the Heat, they are an ATS cover machine when they travel, covering five of their last six games played on the road. Both teams have some big names listed as questionable or out here. But Miami comes into this matchup a little hotter, winning six of their last 10 straight up, and covering seven of those 10 overall. Remember folks, this is about who covers, and the Heat are covering. The Atlanta defense has been a doormat all season long, ranking 27th, getting plowed for over 120.8 points per game. As a matter of fact, in most defensive categories, they rank near the bottom. Yes, they can score some points on offense. But this match up. they are in trouble because they face one of the stingiest and most frustrating defenses in the NBA. The Heat allow just 111.4 points per game, they are better on the boards, and significantly better from the free-throw line. I think this game is going to get physical, and that definitely gives Miami an advantage. I like the Heat to win this game outright. I think they should be a favorite. No matter what the line is, take Miami. Thank you.
Joe D'Amico | |
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